Perugia vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FRO
0 - 0
PRG
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PRG
2 - 3
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
PRG
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
GEN
3 - 2
PRG
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCS
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NUO
2 - 1
VIC
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
5 - 1
NUO
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
NUO
51%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
NUO
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
POR
2 - 0
NUO
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |