Perugia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 1
PRG
10%
22%
69%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
4 - 0
LEG
79%
14%
6%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
4 - 2
MAN
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PRG
3 - 0
ARZ
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 0
PRG
10%
22%
68%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 1
SSS
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 1
MAT
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 0
MOD
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRI
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |