Perugia vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
VNZ
3 - 0
PRG
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
EMP
2 - 1
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 1
NOV
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 1
SAL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
FER
0 - 1
FAN
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REN
2 - 0
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
PAD
21%
27%
53%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
ASG
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VIC
1 - 1
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |