Perugia vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 0
PSV
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
REG
1 - 2
PRG
35%
27%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
PRG
0 - 2
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 2
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 3
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
26%
27%
46%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |