Perugia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
22.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 1
PRG
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
PRG
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
USC
4 - 1
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
RIM
1 - 2
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |