Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
12º
8º
35
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 0
PER
56%
23%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
WUF
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MCI
4 - 0
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 2
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 1
ADE
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 1
WES
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
WPH
2 - 3
WUF
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WPH
4 - 1
MFC
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |