Perth Glory vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
PER
6 - 1
BRI
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 2
PER
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 2
PER
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 0
PER
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 2
PAP
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 1
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 0
NZK
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 1
NZK
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 3
ADE
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |