Carioca Série B1 2da Fase. Jor. 5

Pérolas Negras vs Serrano FC analysis

Pérolas Negras Serrano FC
44 ELO 36
-14.9% Tilt -9.4%
39768º General ELO ranking 29491º
1098º Country ELO ranking 915º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Pérolas Negras
22.5%
Draw
18.8%
Serrano FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
Pérolas Negras
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
Serrano FC
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pérolas Negras
-27%
+50%
Serrano FC

ELO progression

Pérolas Negras
Serrano FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pérolas Negras
Pérolas Negras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2021
CMA
Maricá
1 - 1
Pérolas Negras
PER
50%
24%
27%
44 48 4 0
06 Nov. 2021
SER
Serra Macaense
0 - 0
Pérolas Negras
PER
24%
22%
54%
44 35 9 0
03 Nov. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
3 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
56%
23%
21%
43 37 6 +1
30 Oct. 2021
OLA
Olaria
1 - 0
Pérolas Negras
PER
22%
23%
55%
45 35 10 -2
28 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
1 - 1
Maricá
CMA
30%
24%
46%
44 49 5 +1

Matches

Serrano FC
Serrano FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2021
SFC
Serrano FC
0 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
42%
25%
34%
36 35 1 0
03 Nov. 2021
RIO
Rio Sao Paulo
3 - 3
Serrano FC
SFC
27%
23%
49%
37 25 12 -1
30 Oct. 2021
SFC
Serrano FC
2 - 0
7 de Abril
CIG
54%
22%
23%
37 24 13 0
23 Oct. 2021
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
1 - 0
Serrano FC
SFC
40%
24%
36%
37 35 2 0
17 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
0 - 0
Serrano FC
SFC
56%
23%
21%
37 44 7 0
X