Pêro Pinheiro vs Olímpico do Montijo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
18.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
6º
4º
20
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
OLI
PER
CAS
SIN
ELE
CFB
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pêro Pinheiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO PER | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
265 | 262 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
267 | 260 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAC
2 - 2
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
267 | 268 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PER
3 - 0
CFB
45%
27%
28%
|
264 | 261 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
264 | 263 | -1 | 0 |
Matches
Olímpico do Montijo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO OLI | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
OEL
45%
27%
28%
|
263 | 254 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 3
OLI
45%
27%
28%
|
260 | 264 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
REA
45%
27%
28%
|
259 | 256 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLI
45%
27%
28%
|
259 | 259 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 3
OEI
45%
27%
28%
|
260 | 248 | 12 | -1 |