Perly-Certoux vs Bex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 1
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
FCM
38%
24%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VEV
2 - 2
PER
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PER
0 - 1
STA
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PER
0 - 2
FCG
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BEX
0 - 4
MON
19%
21%
61%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SBC
1 - 0
BEX
67%
19%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SEC
0 - 0
BEX
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
FCO
5 - 2
BEX
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAV
3 - 1
BEX
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |