Perlis vs USM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
JOH
1 - 6
PER
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
KED
3 - 2
PER
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
PER
3 - 3
JOH
32%
27%
42%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PER
3 - 0
KEB
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
BET
2 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
USM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
USM
2 - 1
JOH
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
USM
0 - 2
SIM
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 0
USM
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DRB
1 - 2
USM
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
USM
0 - 1
PAH
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |