Pergolettese vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PER
29%
28%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
MAP
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 0
PER
33%
28%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 2
CIS
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
INV
1 - 3
VBE
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 3
LEC
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 1
VBE
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |