Pergolettese vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
PER
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
REN
19%
27%
54%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
PER
76%
17%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PER
1 - 2
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
PER
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 1
ARZ
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
2 - 0
PON
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ABN
0 - 1
SIE
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SIE
2 - 2
PIS
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ASS
0 - 2
SIE
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |