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Lega Pro. Group A, Matchday 27

Pergolettese Livorno
37 ELO 40
-10% Tilt -34%
2538º General ELO ranking 2230º
83º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Pergolettese
31.4%
Draw
22.2%
Livorno

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
Pergolettese
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
22.2%
Win probability
Livorno
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pergolettese
+12%
-17%
Livorno

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
37
40
ELO
1.1
0.7
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Pergolettese
Their league position
Livorno
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
16º
16º
26
15º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Como
75
75
100%
Alessandria
68
68
100%
Renate
65
65
100%
Pro Vercelli
63
63
100%
Pro Patria
61
61
100%
Lecco
60
60
100%
AlbinoLeffe
57
57
100%
Pontedera
55
55
100%
Grosseto
54
54
100%
Juventus Sub 23
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Novara
11º
49
49
11º
50%
Piacenza
12º
49
49
12º
50%
Olbia Calcio
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Giana Erminio
14º
44
44
14º
33%
Pergolettese
15º
44
44
15º
33%
Carrarese
16º
44
44
16º
33%
Pro Sesto
17º
43
43
17º
100%
AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
18º
31
31
18º
50%
Pistoiese
19º
31
31
19º
50%
Livorno
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pergolettese
Livorno
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Could qualify for next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
67% 0%
Relegation playoffs
33% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Livorno
LIV
Pergolettese
PER
Pro Vercelli
LEO
Alessandria
USA
Carrarese
CAR
Giana Erminio
GER
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pergolettese
Pergolettese
1%
X%
2%
ELO PER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2021
PRO
Pro Patria
0 - 2
Pergolettese
PER
53%
25%
22%
511 690 179 +5
17 Feb. 2021
PER
Pergolettese
1 - 2
Como
COM
47%
27%
26%
514 479 35 -3
10 Mar. 2021
PRO
Pro Sesto
0 - 2
Pergolettese
PER
41%
28%
31%
514 414 -100 0
07 Feb. 2021
GRO
Grosseto
2 - 2
Pergolettese
PER
39%
28%
33%
514 328 -186 0
03 Feb. 2021
PER
Pergolettese
2 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
47%
27%
26%
510 483 27 +4

Matches

Livorno
Livorno
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2021
LIV
Livorno
0 - 1
Renate
REN
49%
26%
25%
586 496 90 -3
17 Feb. 2021
NOV
Novara
1 - 1
Livorno
LIV
51%
26%
23%
585 769 184 +1
13 Feb. 2021
LIV
Livorno
3 - 3
Olbia Calcio
OLB
51%
26%
23%
586 366 220 -1
07 Feb. 2021
JS2
Juventus Sub 23
6 - 0
Livorno
LIV
47%
27%
26%
592 614 22 -6
03 Feb. 2021
LIV
Livorno
0 - 1
Piacenza
PIA
47%
27%
26%
595 597 -2 -3