Pergolettese vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
ADR
67%
18%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
PER
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 2
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 2
PER
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
MOD
17%
25%
58%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADR
0 - 0
LEN
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
LEN
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 0
ACS
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |