Pergolettese vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
52%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
PER
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
GER
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 2
PER
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
TRE
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 0
PER
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
FCS
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
FER
23%
26%
50%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
GER
2 - 1
FER
18%
25%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
FER
3 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 0
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |