Pergolettese vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
PER
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 2
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 2
PER
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
5 - 2
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADR
0 - 0
LEN
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 0
ADR
49%
21%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ADR
0 - 1
DAK
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SZE
0 - 2
ADR
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ADR
1 - 0
ROD
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |