Penybont vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 5
BAL
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
CEF
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 2
NEW
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 0
NEW
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |