Penybont vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
PEN
7%
15%
78%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
5 - 1
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
AIR
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 3
HOL
9%
17%
75%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 0
GRE
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 2
HOL
25%
22%
53%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 0
POR
82%
12%
5%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
RTW
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |