Penybont vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
3º
27
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
FLI
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
10 - 0
BRI
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
PEN
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
HAV
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAE
28%
26%
47%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
4 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAR
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |