Penybont vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 3
PEN
17%
21%
63%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
PEN
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
TNS
27%
24%
50%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 0
UND
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
PRE
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAE
43%
22%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
CEF
81%
13%
7%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
DEN
0 - 4
CAE
10%
14%
76%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | +1 |