Penya Encarnada vs Atlètic Escaldes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
8º
7º
18
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
21 | 57 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 52 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 48 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 47 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 45 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 34 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
37.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 14 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 13 |
10º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 21% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
INT
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
12%
17%
71%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
ESA
72%
16%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AME
1 - 4
PEN
14%
18%
69%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
SCO
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atlètic Escaldes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
F91
2 - 0
ATL
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
F91
27%
21%
53%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ATL
8 - 0
AME
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 2
UES
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |