Penya Ciutadella vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 2
PCE
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PCE
4 - 1
SLL
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
PCE
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UDR
0 - 0
PCE
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PCE
4 - 1
CAM
33%
27%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SDF
1 - 1
CFP
75%
18%
7%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SDF
0 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SDF
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SDF
1 - 0
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 5
SDF
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |