Penya Ciutadella vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MNU
2 - 1
PCE
48%
26%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 1
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UDA
1 - 1
PCE
44%
26%
31%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 1
CFP
46%
26%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 1
PCE
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
SDF
41%
28%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SLL
0 - 1
MER
44%
24%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
MNC
71%
19%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BNS
1 - 1
MER
37%
25%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
LLO
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |