Penrith AFC vs Sunderland RCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
JAR
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
PEN
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 2
SCA
24%
22%
55%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 1
PAD
41%
24%
36%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland RCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
3 - 2
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SUN
4 - 4
GUI
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
SUN
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |