Penrhyncoch FC vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
57%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 2
PEN
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 3
PEN
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
HOL
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 2
AIR
25%
23%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
PRE
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 3
CON
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
COL
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LLA
0 - 3
HOL
9%
18%
72%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |