Pennarossa vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
FOL
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 2
TFI
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 2
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 3
TPE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 0
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 5
FIO
18%
20%
62%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |