Penistone Church vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penistone Church
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
CHA
33%
23%
43%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
KNA
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
SIL
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 0
GOO
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAD
29%
22%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 1
GUA
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 4
PAD
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LBR
2 - 1
PAD
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
RAM
0 - 3
PAD
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |