Penistone Church vs AFC Emley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penistone Church
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
SHC
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 4
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
HEM
1 - 2
PEN
18%
19%
62%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
STA
0 - 4
PEN
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 4
GAR
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Emley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
ATH
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ECC
2 - 1
AFC
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
STA
59%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 2
AFC
67%
17%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
7 - 0
HAN
25%
20%
55%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |