Penicuik Athletic vs Musselburgh Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
LIN
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 6
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
BRX
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUS
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
SJU
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Musselburgh Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
MUS
6 - 1
CAM
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
JSW
3 - 0
MUS
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
MUS
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 3
DUN
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SJU
3 - 0
MUS
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |