Penicuik Athletic vs Musselburgh Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penicuik Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 2
TRA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
TYN
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 0
PEN
17%
20%
62%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PEN
4 - 0
CRO
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
IHS
0 - 3
PEN
5%
12%
83%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | +2 |
Matches
Musselburgh Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUS
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MUS
3 - 1
DUN
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 2
MUS
65%
17%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
3 - 3
LIN
31%
20%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
2 - 5
NEW
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -3 |