Peniche vs União de Coimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
9º
38
1º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
0 - 1
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
RAB
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
UFT
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
7 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
70%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COI
2 - 1
BEN
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 5
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
3 - 2
COI
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |