Peniche vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 3
PEN
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
LOU
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
6 - 0
PEN
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -3 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 1
PER
33%
26%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
REA
2 - 0
PEN
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 2
SAC
78%
16%
6%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 1
CAR
84%
12%
4%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
FCB
16%
22%
63%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FCB
3 - 1
UNI
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
FCB
14%
23%
64%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | -1 |