Peniche vs Eléctrico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SIN
6 - 0
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 0
FAB
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
AMO
3 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAC
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 1
PEN
83%
14%
4%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Eléctrico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ELE
2 - 1
FCB
13%
23%
64%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
ELE
16%
22%
63%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ELE
1 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
ELE
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PER
0 - 2
ELE
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |