Peniche U19 vs Caldas SC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
8º
7º
42
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peniche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
7 - 0
PEN
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
MAF
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOU
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSC
4 - 0
PEN
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
SAC
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 3
CSC
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 3
RSC
23%
21%
57%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 1
CSC
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
CDF
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 8
CSC
9%
15%
75%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |