Peñarol vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
PEÑ
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LFC
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 3
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
SUD
3 - 1
REN
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
MWA
4 - 1
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 2
BOS
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 2
SUD
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
SUD
1 - 1
PLA
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |