Peñarol vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
VEL
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 0
PEÑ
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
VAS
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
TAC
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
2 - 1
PEÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GOI
2 - 3
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAH
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
JUV
3 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
4 - 0
PPE
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
VEL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |