Peñarol vs Rentistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
PEÑ
45%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 4
PEÑ
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rentistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
RAC
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SUD
3 - 3
REN
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
FEN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 0
REN
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REN
0 - 2
ETS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |