Peñarol vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PLA
0 - 2
PEÑ
23%
23%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
BOL
5 - 2
PEÑ
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
PUM
3 - 1
JAG
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AME
1 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 1
ATS
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
PUM
1 - 0
PUE
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
QRO
0 - 0
PUM
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |