Peñarol vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LFC
1 - 3
PEÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
RAC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 1
JUV
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
4 - 1
JUV
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
ETS
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |