Clausura Uruguay Partido Decisivo. Final
Global 1-0
Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
RAC
70%
18%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CER
0 - 4
PEÑ
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
PLA
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
FEN
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 1
DEF
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |