Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GRE
39%
28%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
78%
13%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
COB
4 - 2
PEÑ
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
0 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
1 - 3
SAO
2%
24%
73%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
78%
13%
8%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
1 - 1
OPE
71%
16%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
1 - 1
STR
60%
20%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |