Peñarol vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
PEÑ
23%
28%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALB
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
27%
28%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
FEN
64%
23%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 3
PEÑ
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
DAN
3 - 2
TOR
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
DAN
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 0
DEP
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 0
CSC
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 1
DAN
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |