Peñarol vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
BVS
0 - 0
PEÑ
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EST
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 2
COB
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1981 |
COB
6 - 1
SPC
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
COB
6 - 1
ATL
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
COB
1 - 0
UCH
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
SPC
0 - 0
COB
56%
21%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |