Peñarol vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
STR
2 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
51%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
AME
3 - 1
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
QRO
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
AME
4 - 0
STR
71%
18%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 6
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AME
1 - 2
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
AME
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |