Peñarol AC vs Princesa Solimões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FAS
2 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAN
27%
26%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
PEN
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 2
IRA
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
5 - 2
PRI
62%
21%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 2
FAS
45%
25%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
PRI
68%
20%
13%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 3
AFC
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |