Peñarol AC vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
PEN
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
YPI
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 1
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
IRA
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CLI
1 - 0
NAC
15%
19%
67%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 2
NAC
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
7 - 0
IRA
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 2
SAO
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAN
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |