Peñarol AC vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
IRA
0 - 2
PEN
19%
20%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
PRI
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
FAS
2 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 1
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 3
AFC
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |