Peñarol AC vs Galvez EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FAS
3 - 2
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
GAS
0 - 1
PEN
23%
22%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 1
PEN
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
PRI
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Galvez EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 1
ATL
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
GAL
2 - 1
GAS
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 1
GAL
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 3
ATL
6%
16%
77%
|
36 | 76 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PAY
4 - 1
GAL
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |