Peñarol AC vs GA Sampaio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAS
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 3
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
1 - 0
PEN
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
GA Sampaio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAS
0 - 3
GAL
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 0
GAS
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
5 - 0
GAS
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GAS
0 - 2
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FAS
4 - 0
GAS
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |